L'approccio economico di fronte all'incertezza | Gino Gandolfi | TEDxUNIPR
30 May 2024 (4 months ago)
Decision-Making in Economics
- Economics is a social science, not an exact science, making decision-making complex and uncertain.
- The speaker illustrates this with an anecdote involving a mathematician, a statistician, and an economist.
- In economics, the most accurate answer is often "it depends" due to the complexity and unpredictability of economic phenomena.
Negative Prices and Assets
- The speaker discusses the concept of negative interest rates and questions whether a tangible asset can be traded at a negative price.
- Buying or selling an asset at a negative price means the owner is paying to get rid of it, as in the case of a property that needs expensive remediation.
- The speaker raises the possibility of oil, a tangible asset, being traded at a negative price, leaving the audience to consider the implications.
Risk-Taking and Decision-Making
- The speaker reflects on a challenging decision-making situation involving negative oil prices in April 2020.
- He emphasizes the importance of taking risks and making decisions rather than remaining inert.
- Drawing inspiration from Ulysses's journey, he stresses the significance of pursuing knowledge and understanding.
- The speaker discusses the psychological impact of regret and remorse in decision-making, citing Daniel Kahneman's research on behavioral finance.
The BRAVE Acronym for Decision-Making
- The speaker proposes the acronym BRAVE to guide decision-making:
- Books: Reading and learning from books and mentors.
- Resilience: Expecting and learning from failures and setbacks.
- Action: Taking action and making decisions.
- Vision: Having a clear vision and purpose.
- Execution: Implementing decisions effectively.
Entrepreneurial Qualities
- Ambition involves setting challenging and important goals for oneself.
- Willpower is the driving force behind ambition.
- Vision is essential for entrepreneurs and involves thinking long-term and seeing opportunities beyond the obvious.
- Lateral thinking is important and involves finding creative solutions to problems.
- Enthusiasm and passion are crucial for success and drive individuals to achieve their goals.
Pope Francis's Message to Young People
- Pope Francis encourages young people to have courage, rise up, and not be afraid of their dreams.